Re: and so it starts, TD1 advisory

[JohnnyCastaway]

000
 WTNT31 KNHC 101312
 TCPAT1
 BULLETIN
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER   1...CORRECTED
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL012006
 800 AM CDT SAT JUN 10 2006
 
 
 ...FIRST TROPICAL DEPRESSION OF THE 2006 SEASON FORMS IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...
 
 TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE RECOMMENDED FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF PINAR DEL RIO AND ISLE OF YOUTH.
 
 INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
 FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
 AT 800 AM CDT...1300Z...THE BROAD CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.3 WEST OR ABOUT 50 MILES... 80 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN ANTONIO ON THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA.
 
 THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION THROUGH THE YUCATAN CHANNEL INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO TODAY.
 
 MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...
 AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY.  AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE DEPRESSION THIS AFTERNOON.
 
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.
 
 STORM TIDES OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE SOUTHERN COASTS OF WESTERN CUBA AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
 
 AT THIS TIME...THE MAIN THREAT FROM THE DEPRESSION IS HEAVY RAINFALL.  THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 20 INCHES OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF CUBA...
 WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF 30 INCHES OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN.  THIS COULD CAUSE DEVASTATING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.  RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...WITH
 3 TO 5 INCHES OVER THE NORTHEASTERN PORTION OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.  THERE IS ALSO THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL OF 4 TO 8 INCHES POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS AND WESTERN FLORIDA FROM SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.
 
 REPEATING THE 800 AM CDT POSITION...21.1 N...85.3 W.  MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.
 
 THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1000 AM CDT.
 
 FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
 $$

[bellagio]

Thanks johnny.   Please keep me posted!!!

[JohnnyCastaway]

Update:
 
 000
 WTNT31 KNHC 101444
 TCPAT1
 BULLETIN
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE ADVISORY NUMBER   2
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL012006
 1000 AM CDT SAT JUN 10 2006
 
 ...DEPRESSION POORLY ORGANIZED BUT PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL...
 
 TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE RECOMMENDED FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF PINAR DEL RIO AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
 
 INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
 FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
 AT 1000 AM CDT...1500Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE
 85.6 WEST OR ABOUT 45 MILES... 75 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN ANTONIO ON THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA.
 
 THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...
 19 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO LATER TODAY.
 
 MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...
 AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY.  AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE DEPRESSION THIS AFTERNOON.
 
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.
 
 AT THIS TIME...THE MAIN THREAT FROM THE DEPRESSION IS HEAVY RAINFALL.  THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 20 INCHES OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF CUBA...WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF 30 INCHES OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN.
 THIS COULD CAUSE DEVASTATING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.  GRAND CAYMAN ISLAND HAS REPORTED 22.72 INCHES OF RAIN DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS... AND ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF 5 TO 10 INCHES IS POSSIBLE OVER THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.  RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHEASTERN PORTION OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.  THERE IS ALSO THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL OF 4 TO 8 INCHES POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS AND WESTERN FLORIDA FROM SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.
 
 REPEATING THE 1000 AM CDT POSITION...21.5 N...85.6 W.  MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.
 
 AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 100 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 400 PM CDT.
 
 FORECASTER KNABB
 
 
 $$

[Bulldog]

TS Chris threatens to become hurricane
 Caribbean islands under hurricane watch
 
 Tropical Storm Chris was sweeping Thursday through the eastern Caribbean, forcing cruise ships to change course and tourists to evacuate small islands off the coast of Puerto Rico as it threatened to become the first hurricane of the Atlantic season.
 
 At 2 a.m. EDT Thursday, the center of the storm was about 115 miles (185 kilometers) north-northeast of San Juan. Chris was moving west near 11 mph (18 km/h) and its center was expected to stay north of Puerto Rico.
 
 The storm had top sustained winds of 55 mph (88 km/h), down 5 mph (8 km/h) from three hours earlier. Outer bands of the swirling storm began to dump heavy rains on the U.S. Virgin Islands
 
 
 http://www.cnn.com/2006/WEATHER/08/03/tropical.weather.ap/index.html

[millybess]

Tropical Storm Chris weakens on path toward Cuba
 
 www.boston.com/news/nation/washington/articles/2006/08/03/storm_chris_may_not_become_hurricane/